UNLV vs Boise State 10/20/2012

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Boise State is a heavy favorite winning 96% of simulations over UNLV. Joe Southwick is averaging 248 passing yards and 2.9 TDs per simulation and D.J. Harper is projected for 90 rushing yards and a 81% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 4% of simulations where UNLV wins, Nick Sherry averages 0.79 TD passes vs 0.63 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.37 TDs to 0.97 interceptions. Tim Cornett averages 111 rushing yards and 0.76 rushing TDs when UNLV wins and 88 yards and 0.31 TDs in losses. Boise State has a 32% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 99% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BST -27

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